Legendary tech VC turned college professor, Steve Blank writes a very long and passionate blog post about why the US economy’s long-term prospects are actually quite positive, thanks to places like Silicon Valley:
The Democratization of Entrepreneurship
What’s happening is something more profound than a change in technology. What’s happening is that all the things that have been limits to startups and innovation are being removed. At once. Starting now.
Compressing the Product Development Cycle
In the past, the time to build a first product release was measured in months or even years as startups executed the founder’s vision of what customers wanted. This meant building every possible feature the founding team envisioned into a monolithic “release” of the product. Yet time after time, after the product shipped, startups would find that customers didn’t use or want most of the features. The founders were simply wrong about their assumptions about customer needs. The effort that went into making all those unused features was wasted.Today startups have begun to build products differently. Instead of building the maximum number of features, they look to deliver a minimum feature set in the shortest period of time. This lets them deliver a first version of the product to customers in a fraction on the time.
For products that are simply “bits” delivered over the web, a first product can be shipped in weeks rather than years.
It’s a good time to be American, smart, creative, enterprising and productive. But we already knew that.
Unsmart, uncreative, unenterprising and unproductive? Not so good. The well-paid jobs for those kind of people just aren’t there anymore. But we already knew that, too.
The cartoon above says it all…
Agreed. And, it’s not just the dumbasses, it’s the entitled. They are the ones that justify.
Cris, where I’m from, people who live their lives with an erroneously sense of entitlement generally would be under the “dumb-ass” umbrella.
Agreed… however, the way we treat your ‘unsmart, unenterprising, and unproductive” citizens is a true reflection of how “smart, creative, enterprising, and productive’ we can claim to be.
The strength of a nation can be easily measured by how they treat their weakest members.
Really, Alex? I thought the true measure of a society’s strength was how well it culled its weakest members from its gene pool.
Oh wait, I don’t think I’m supposed to say that publicly…
😉
You may want to compare the birth rates for your “smart creatives” with those of your “great unwashed.” The “great unwashed” that, presumably, is also acting as an electorate and as a market, by the way.
This piece is crude, and unfounded, self-congratulation, only to the extent that it isn’t whistling in the dark.
Heh. Lemmy, which part of the blog post do you disagree with exactly? Just curious…
The premise that it can get better for a self-motivated elite as it gets worse for the rest.
What “getting worse” in the current environment is, is definitely not being culled from the gene pool: I suspect that you think that life-as-career is life itself, but it isn’t.
The situation for people without high-value skills isn’t just a more modest relative income: it is instability, possible homelessness, the risk of their children falling into crime. It is rootlessness.
A stressed, unstable, anxious and rootless mass do not create a pleasant society for anyone, including the people they share a society with who may not be so anxious and unstable.
It was once said, in defense of the raising income inequalities of the late-90s boom, that a rising tide raises all ships. Now, you seem to be arguing the opposite: that a lowering tide doesn’t lower all ships. I’m deeply skeptical: relative high wealth in a less wealthy society may not be pleasant.
If you can’t do something better than (a) a highly motivated member of the emerging world (eg. BRIC), or (b) a computer, good luck to you.
Agreed, Bruce.
True.
I’d add that ‘smart’ people that cultivate ignorance, either by opportunistic rhetoric, neglect or outright suppression, are just as dumb, or worse, evil.
Lou – You are mixing up ‘smart’ with ‘nice’ (the two fundamental dimensions of human nature – mind and heart). ‘Smart’ people that ‘cultivate ignorance…’ may be ‘mean’, but they are still ‘smart’. Financial manipulators, crooked politicians and master criminals, might be ‘mean’ and ‘evil’, but they are not ‘dumb’. It is very important not to confuse these two dimensions (unless you using the kindergarden meaning of ‘dumb’). And the mean-smart people tend to be least likely of all to be ‘f**cked’. They tend to be the ones doing the ‘f**cking’.
SO what you are saying is that all the nice smart people just need to start being A**holes so that they do not get f**cked.
It is an interesting concept but the world would be a much better place if we just culled the pretentious smart A**holes and left the rest alone.
Interesting comments. I wasn’t agreeing that the limits to start-up and innovation are being removed because I was only looking at it from a ‘government involvement in business’ point of view, which seems they are putting in so much regulation that start-ups are deterred. However, as I read your reasoning toward product development I see your point and agree. Thank you for making me look at the issue from a different point of view.
Awesome sketch and I think it is so true for anyone in the first world, not just the US. ( I liked Bruce Lynn’s comment too). As someone who is a non commercial photographer – aka artist, it is tougher and tougher to make my work unique and WOW! people to part with their money when everyone has a camera and they think they can do it better themselves. Doesn’t mean I should give up, but it does push me to only put my best out there.
Hey Mike,
Yeah, professional photography has taken a real beating in the last decade or so, for the reasons you mentioned.
But hey, beatings can be good (within reason). They often make you a much better artist…
Hey Mike,
Yeah, photography as a profession has taken a real beating since I left college.
But “beatings” can be a good thing. They often make you a better artist.
Nice to see a bit of discussion on a topic near and dear to my heart. As an American attorney living in Mainland China for almost ten years (yikes) I am a strong supporter of the non-dumb ass folks from the US we help get things accomplished here in China.
They, the Chinese, are not out to get us and we should not be out to get ‘them.’ It’s all a big us now and it’s all getting smaller.
The future is bright, but only if you leave your presumptions at the door on the way you used to think it should work.
“They, the Chinese, are not out to get us and we should not be out to get ‘them.’ It’s all a big us now and it’s all getting smaller.”
That is all true…
I often think, barring extreme circumstances, change is rarely as painful as people make it out to be.
What people really resent is not the change itself- but the tiresome task of having to RELEARN stuff, especially if one has already gone to great length to master the old, pre-change stuff.
i.e. If you’ve just spent the last two decades leaning some skill, the LAST thing you want to be told is that skill is now obsolete.
Nobody likes playing Sisyphus…
True, true, indeed. It was about time such an opinion reached mainstream.